000
WTPZ21 KNHC 221436
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112014
1500 UTC FRI AUG 22 2014
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 135.6W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 105SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 135.6W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 135.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 15.8N 135.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 16.6N 134.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 17.3N 132.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 17.8N 131.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 19.0N 129.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 20.7N 130.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 22.3N 133.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 135.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS