000
WTPZ21 KNHC 211433
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112014
1500 UTC THU AUG 21 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 136.9W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 180 DEGREES AT   2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  40SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 136.9W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 136.9W

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 14.8N 136.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 15.0N 135.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 15.6N 135.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 16.4N 134.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 18.5N 131.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 23.0N 129.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 27.5N 131.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 136.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH