000
WTPZ21 KNHC 192036
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112014
2100 UTC TUE AUG 19 2014
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 134.8W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  30SE  30SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  60SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 134.8W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 134.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 15.7N 135.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 15.7N 136.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 15.8N 136.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 15.8N 136.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 16.5N 135.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  30SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 18.5N 132.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 23.5N 129.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 134.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA