000
WTPZ21 KNHC 152038
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162013
2100 UTC TUE OCT 15 2013
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 117.5W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 117.5W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 117.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 18.1N 118.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 18.7N 119.9W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 19.2N 121.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 19.4N 121.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 18.7N 123.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 117.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG