000
WTPZ21 KNHC 150835
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162013
0900 UTC TUE OCT 15 2013
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 116.0W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 116.0W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 115.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 17.7N 116.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 18.5N 118.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 19.3N 119.4W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 19.8N 120.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 20.0N 122.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 116.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN