000
WTPZ21 KNHC 150235
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162013
0300 UTC TUE OCT 15 2013
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 115.8W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 115.8W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 115.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 16.9N 116.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  50SE  50SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 17.6N 117.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.4N 119.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 19.2N 120.2W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 19.5N 122.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 115.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN