000
WTPZ21 KNHC 142036
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162013
2100 UTC MON OCT 14 2013
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 115.8W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 115.8W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 115.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.6N 116.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  60SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 17.3N 116.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 18.0N 118.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 18.8N 119.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 19.8N 120.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 19.6N 121.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 18.3N 123.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 115.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG