000
WTPZ21 KNHC 311452
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112013
1500 UTC SAT AUG 31 2013
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 116.5W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 116.5W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 116.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 19.8N 116.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 20.6N 117.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 21.5N 117.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 21.9N 117.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 22.0N 117.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 116.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA