000
WTPZ21 KNHC 151440
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012013
1500 UTC WED MAY 15 2013
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR  8.2N 103.6W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  8.2N 103.6W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  8.0N 103.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z  8.6N 105.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z  9.1N 107.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z  9.5N 108.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 10.0N 110.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 11.5N 113.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 13.0N 115.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 15.5N 117.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  8.2N 103.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG