000
WTPZ21 KNHC 142031
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM KRISTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112012
2100 UTC FRI SEP 14 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 113.1W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE  50SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  45SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 113.1W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 112.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 21.1N 114.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE  50SE   0SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 22.3N 115.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE  50SE   0SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 23.5N 117.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 24.5N 118.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 26.0N 119.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 27.0N 119.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 113.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA