000
WTPZ21 KNHC 140236
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM KRISTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112012
0300 UTC FRI SEP 14 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 111.1W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  75SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 111.1W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 110.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 20.2N 112.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 21.2N 113.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 22.4N 115.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 23.5N 117.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 25.3N 119.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 26.5N 119.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 26.5N 117.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 111.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE