000
WTPZ21 KNHC 170233
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM FABIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062012
0300 UTC TUE JUL 17 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 120.4W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  75SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 120.4W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 120.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 21.4N 120.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 23.0N 120.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 24.3N 120.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 25.4N 119.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 27.0N 119.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 120.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART