000
WTPZ21 KNHC 150832
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE FABIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062012
0900 UTC SUN JUL 15 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 116.7W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 116.7W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 116.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 17.0N 118.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 17.8N 119.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 18.8N 120.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 20.0N 121.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 22.5N 121.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 25.0N 122.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 26.0N 122.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 116.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH