000
WTPZ21 KNHC 140838
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE FABIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062012
0900 UTC SAT JUL 14 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 113.4W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 100SE  80SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 113.4W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 112.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.2N 114.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.6N 116.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 17.1N 117.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 17.7N 119.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 19.6N 120.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 22.0N 121.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 24.0N 121.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 113.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE