000
WTPZ21 KNHC 140238
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE FABIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062012
0300 UTC SAT JUL 14 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 112.5W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO  95 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 100SE  80SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 112.5W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 111.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.1N 113.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.4N 115.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 16.8N 117.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 17.4N 118.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 19.5N 120.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 21.8N 121.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 23.5N 121.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 112.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS