000
WTPZ21 KNHC 131434
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM FABIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062012
1500 UTC FRI JUL 13 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 110.6W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  60SE  50SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 100SE 100SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 110.6W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 110.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 15.6N 111.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 100SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.1N 113.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.4N 115.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 16.8N 116.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.5N 119.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 20.5N 120.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 23.0N 121.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 110.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG