000
WTPZ21 KNHC 120845
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062012
0900 UTC THU JUL 12 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 106.4W AT 12/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 106.4W AT 12/0900Z
AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 106.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 13.9N 107.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 14.5N 108.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 15.3N 110.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 16.0N 111.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.7N 114.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 18.0N 116.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 20.7N 118.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 106.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART