000
WTPZ21 KNHC 152032
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM ALETTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012012
2100 UTC TUE MAY 15 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 110.4W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 80NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 110.4W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 110.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 11.4N 111.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 11.8N 113.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 11.9N 115.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 12.3N 116.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 12.8N 118.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 13.5N 118.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.2N 110.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN