000
WTPZ21 KNHC 142031
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012012
2100 UTC MON MAY 14 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 107.3W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 107.3W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.9N 106.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 10.3N 108.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 10.7N 110.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 11.0N 113.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 11.3N 115.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 11.6N 118.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 12.0N 120.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.0N 107.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN