000
WTPZ21 KNHC 141450
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012012
1500 UTC MON MAY 14 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.8N 105.9W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.8N 105.9W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.8N 105.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 10.2N 107.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 10.6N 109.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 10.8N 111.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 11.1N 113.8W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 11.8N 117.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 12.2N 119.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.8N 105.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN