000
WTPZ21 KNHC 140231
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM IRWIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112011
0300 UTC FRI OCT 14 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 106.6W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 150SE 120SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 106.6W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 106.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 19.0N 106.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 18.0N 106.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 16.8N 106.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 15.8N 107.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 15.0N 108.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 15.0N 109.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 15.0N 109.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 106.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA