000
WTPZ21 KNHC 122048
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM IRWIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112011
2100 UTC WED OCT 12 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 109.4W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 210SE 210SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 109.4W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 110.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 17.7N 107.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 18.0N 105.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 17.8N 104.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.0N 103.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 16.0N 104.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 16.0N 106.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 16.0N 109.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 109.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN