000
WTPZ21 KNHC 120231
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM IRWIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112011
0300 UTC WED OCT 12 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 113.3W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  95 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  75SE  75SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 210SE  90SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 113.3W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 113.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 15.5N 111.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  75SE  75SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 16.5N 109.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  70SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 17.1N 107.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 17.1N 106.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.2N 104.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 15.5N 105.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 15.5N 107.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 113.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI