000
WTPZ21 KNHC 112030
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM IRWIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112011
2100 UTC TUE OCT 11 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 114.2W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  95 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  75SE  75SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 210SE  90SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 114.2W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 114.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 15.2N 113.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  75SE  75SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 16.1N 110.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  20SE  20SW  10NW.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 17.1N 108.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 17.3N 107.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.7N 104.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 16.0N 105.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 15.5N 106.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 114.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN