000
WTPZ21 KNHC 110234
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112011
0300 UTC TUE OCT 11 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 116.3W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  85 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 180SE 120SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 116.3W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 116.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 15.0N 115.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 15.1N 113.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 15.7N 111.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 16.5N 108.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 17.4N 105.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 16.5N 103.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 16.0N 103.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 116.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI