000
WTPZ21 KNHC 090249
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM IRWIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112011
0300 UTC SUN OCT 09 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 120.3W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  30SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  75SE  60SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 210SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 120.3W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 120.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 15.0N 119.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  75SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 15.3N 118.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  75SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 15.5N 117.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  75SE  75SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 15.6N 115.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  75SE  75SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 15.5N 113.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  25SE  25SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  90SE  90SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 17.0N 109.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 20.0N 107.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 120.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN