000
WTPZ21 KNHC 082128
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM IRWIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112011
2100 UTC SAT OCT 08 2011

CORRECTED PRESENT MOVEMENT 

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 120.9W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   1 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 120.9W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 121.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 14.7N 120.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 14.9N 119.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 15.1N 118.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  90SE  90SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 15.2N 116.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  90SE  90SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 15.0N 114.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  90SE  90SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 16.0N 110.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 19.0N 108.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 120.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/STEWART