000
WTPZ21 KNHC 180837
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062011
0900 UTC THU AUG 18 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 139.9W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE  30SE  75SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 139.9W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 139.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 14.0N 141.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 14.5N 143.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 15.5N 145.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 16.0N 147.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 17.0N 151.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 17.0N 155.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 139.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA