000
WTPZ21 KNHC 172031
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062011
2100 UTC WED AUG 17 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 138.2W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 138.2W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 138.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 12.8N 139.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 13.6N 141.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 14.4N 142.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 15.1N 144.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 16.0N 148.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 16.6N 153.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N 138.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN