000
WTPZ21 KNHC 171441
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062011
1500 UTC WED AUG 17 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 137.8W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 137.8W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 137.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 12.2N 138.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 13.0N 140.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 14.0N 142.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 14.9N 143.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 15.2N 146.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 16.5N 151.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 16.5N 155.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.8N 137.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN