000
WTPZ21 KNHC 170834
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062011
0900 UTC WED AUG 17 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 136.9W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 110SE  45SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 136.9W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 136.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 11.7N 138.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 12.5N 139.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 13.5N 141.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 14.5N 142.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 15.4N 146.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 16.0N 150.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 16.0N 154.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N 136.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA