000
WTPZ21 KNHC 110848
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE ADRIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012011
0900 UTC SAT JUN 11 2011
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
NONE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 110.7W AT 11/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 110.7W AT 11/0900Z
AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 110.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 16.0N 111.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 16.5N 113.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 17.0N 114.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 17.6N 114.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 19.0N 116.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 110.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN