000
WTPZ21 KNHC 110234
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE ADRIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012011
0300 UTC SAT JUN 11 2011
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
NONE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 109.3W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  966 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 109.3W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 108.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 15.9N 110.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 16.3N 111.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 16.7N 113.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 17.4N 113.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 18.7N 115.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 20.0N 116.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 109.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART