000
WTPZ21 KNHC 101431
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE ADRIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012011
1500 UTC FRI JUN 10 2011
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
NONE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 107.6W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 107.6W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 107.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 15.6N 109.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 16.0N 110.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 16.3N 112.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 16.8N 113.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  45SE  40SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 17.5N 114.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 18.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 20.0N 119.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 107.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA