000
WTPZ21 KNHC 100231
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE ADRIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012011
0300 UTC FRI JUN 10 2011
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
NONE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 105.8W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  946 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 105.8W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 105.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 14.9N 106.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 15.3N 108.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 15.6N 109.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 16.0N 111.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 16.6N 112.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 17.4N 114.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 18.7N 116.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 105.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART