000
WTPZ21 KNHC 091431
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE ADRIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012011
1500 UTC THU JUN 09 2011
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
NONE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 104.1W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 104.1W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 103.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 14.5N 105.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 15.0N 106.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 15.5N 108.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 15.8N 109.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 16.5N 111.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 17.0N 113.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 18.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 104.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA