000
WTPZ21 KNHC 090840
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE ADRIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012011
0900 UTC THU JUN 09 2011
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
NONE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 103.5W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  35SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 103.5W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 103.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 14.7N 104.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 15.2N 106.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 15.7N 107.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 16.2N 108.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 17.0N 110.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 17.5N 112.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 18.5N 114.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 103.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN