000
WTPZ21 KNHC 090243
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE ADRIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012011
0300 UTC THU JUN 09 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH
FROM ACAPULCO TO PUNTA SAN TELMO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
NONE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 102.4W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 180SE 120SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 102.4W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 102.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 14.4N 103.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 15.1N 104.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 15.6N 105.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 16.1N 106.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 17.0N 109.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  45SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  80SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 17.5N 111.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 18.5N 113.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 102.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE