000
WTPZ21 KNHC 082037
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM ADRIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012011
2100 UTC WED JUN 08 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM ACAPULCO WESTWARD TO PUNTA SAN TELMO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 101.6W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 85NE 120SE  55SW  80NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 101.6W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 101.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 14.1N 102.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  65SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 14.8N 103.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 15.4N 104.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 15.9N 105.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 16.7N 107.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  80SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 17.5N 109.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 18.5N 111.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 101.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BRENNAN