000
WTPZ21 KNHC 150231
TCMEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062010
0300 UTC THU JUL 15 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 107.7W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 107.7W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 107.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 15.6N 109.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.2N 110.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.7N 112.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 17.1N 114.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.5N 118.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 18.0N 122.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 18.5N 126.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 107.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/AVILA