000 WTPZ21 KNHC 032052 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112007 2100 UTC MON SEP 03 2007 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...AND FROM SANTA FE SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS WITH A HURRICANE WARNING. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO LORETO ON THE EAST COAST AND FROM NORTH OF SANTA FE TO PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO ON THE WEST COAST. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 108.5W AT 03/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT....... 75NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 270SE 180SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 108.5W AT 03/2100Z AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 108.3W FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.9N 109.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 15SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 100SE 75SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.3N 110.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 110SE 75SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 23.8N 110.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 110SE 75SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 25.4N 111.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 29.5N 111.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 108.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z $$ FORECASTER RHOME