000
WTPZ21 KNHC 030844
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112007
0900 UTC MON SEP 03 2007
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA FROM
LA PAZ SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...AND FROM SANTA FE SOUTHWARD ON
THE WEST COAST...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 107.7W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 270SE 180SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 107.7W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 107.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.2N 108.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.4N 109.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.7N 110.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 24.3N 111.3W...INLAND OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 70NE  65SE  65SW  65NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 28.0N 111.5W...OVER GULF OF CALIFORNIA
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 32.0N 110.5W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 107.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/KNABB