000
WTPZ21 KNHC 030256
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112007
0300 UTC MON SEP 03 2007
 
AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ
SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...AND FROM SANTA FE SOUTHWARD ON THE
WEST COAST...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
  
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 107.0W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 270SE 180SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 107.0W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 106.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.5N 107.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.6N 108.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.9N 109.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 23.5N 110.7W...NEAR BAJA PENINSULA
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 27.0N 111.0W...OVER GULF OF CALIFORNIA
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 32.0N 110.0W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 107.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN