000
WTPZ21 KNHC 010233
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112007
0300 UTC SAT SEP 01 2007
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG PORTIONS OF THE
PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM LAGUNAS DE CHACAHUA TO MANZANILLO.
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO
CORRIENTES. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 102.1W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 45NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  45SE  50SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 102.1W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 101.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 17.8N 103.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 45NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 18.7N 105.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 19.5N 106.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 20.2N 108.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.5N 111.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 22.5N 113.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 24.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 102.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN