000
WTPZ21 KNHC 181430
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM COSME FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062007
1500 UTC WED JUL 18 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 138.9W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  30SE  60SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE  30SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 138.9W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 138.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 15.4N 140.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  30SE  60SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 15.9N 143.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 16.4N 146.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.8N 149.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.5N 155.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 18.0N 161.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 18.0N 166.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 138.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN