000
WTPZ21 KNHC 171453
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM COSME FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062007
1500 UTC TUE JUL 17 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 134.4W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  75SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  75SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 134.4W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 133.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 15.4N 136.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 15.8N 138.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 16.2N 141.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 16.7N 143.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 18.0N 150.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 19.0N 155.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 19.0N 160.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 134.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI