000
WTPZ21 KNHC 161455
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM COSME FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062007
1500 UTC MON JUL 16 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 130.5W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  35SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  35SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 130.5W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 130.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 14.7N 131.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 15.1N 133.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 15.4N 135.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 15.7N 137.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 16.5N 143.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 17.5N 148.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 18.0N 153.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 130.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI