000
WTPZ21 KNHC 160231
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM COSME FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062007
0300 UTC MON JUL 16 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 128.8W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  30SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  30SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 128.8W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 128.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 13.8N 129.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 14.5N 131.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 14.8N 133.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 15.0N 135.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 15.5N 140.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 16.5N 146.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 17.5N 151.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 128.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN