000
WTPZ21 KNHC 150824
TCMEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062007
0900 UTC SUN JUL 15 2007
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 127.6W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 127.6W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 127.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 11.9N 128.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 13.0N 129.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 14.0N 131.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 14.5N 133.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 15.0N 136.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 15.5N 140.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 16.0N 144.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.5N 127.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA