000
WTPZ21 KNHC 142030
TCMEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062007
2100 UTC SAT JUL 14 2007
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 127.1W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 127.1W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 126.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 11.6N 128.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 12.0N 130.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 12.5N 132.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 13.0N 133.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 13.5N 136.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 14.0N 138.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 14.5N 141.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.4N 127.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA